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Americans to receive huge tax refunds of up to $20,000, Trump economist says

Trump economist

Millions of Americans may be in for a financial windfall next year as officials predict the country could be in for the largest tax refund season in US history.

The announcement comes as the tax filing season approaches and households begin preparing their documents.

National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, who is considered a leading contender for President Donald Trump‘s next Federal Reserve chair, told FOX Business’ Varney & Co. on Thursday that refunds could reach unprecedented levels.

‘We are going to see the biggest refund cycle ever in the history of America, and people are going to get massive refund checks,’ Hassett said.

‘We’re expecting just that part of it alone to be worth a couple-thousand-dollar refund…the numbers are striking.’

President Trump echoed the sentiment during a recent address on Wednesday, claiming families could save between $11,000 and $20,000 annually under his administration’s tax policies, calling it ‘the largest tax refund season of all time’.

The upbeat projections come despite a recent Fox News poll showing that 44 percent of Americans feel they are falling behind financially and 74 percent rate the economy as ‘bad’ or ‘not so good’.

Hassett challenged that perception, pointing to strong wage growth and cooling inflation.

‘Wages for the typical worker were up 3.7 percent. So if you’re running 3.7 percent wage increases at 1.6 percent core inflation, then real wages are growing at a rate of about 2 to 2.5 percent,’ he explained.

‘By our estimates right now, blue-collar workers have already seen an almost $2,000 raise this year after inflation.’

Hassett argued that Americans will ‘see it in their wallets,’ noting that many tax changes from the One Big Beautiful Bill, passed mid-year, weren’t reflected in earlier filings.

He also compared the current economic trajectory to Trump’s first term, citing three percent growth and one percent inflation as benchmarks.

November’s inflation report, which came in lower than economists expected, was described by Hassett as ‘blockbuster,’ reinforcing his belief that aggressive supply-side policies are keeping prices in check.

‘What’s happened is, as we predicted throughout this term, that if you really put the pedal to the metal on aggregate supply, then that’s gonna put downward pressure on prices,’ he said.

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